In human affairs, quite frequently we see dictators, societies, and empires apparently succeed initially only to have the law of unintended consequences slap ‘em upside da haid.
Yes, this is often caused by pure blindness or arrogance. The British ministers such as George Grenville who passed a never-ending stream of revenue laws in the mid-1700s never thought it would trigger the first of many revolutions that at the end of 200 years would strip England of the entirety of its global possessions.
Barack Obama’s effort to initiate an “Arab Spring” in the Middle East by taking out dictators resulted not only in instability and death, but produced an alliance against Iran—-the very state Zero sought to prop up. When then Secretary of State Cankles said "we came, we saw, he died" (referring to Muammar Qhaddafi), she could have been talking about the globalist foreign policy.
I would disagree with those who put Iraqi Freedom in this category, although certainly removing Saddam Hussein was a goal of the George Bush administration. Still, at the time, no responsible U.S. president would have defied the stream of intelligence from virtually every nation on earth—-both our friends and enemies—-that Saddam had weapons of mass destruction. And no president, ever, of any party, would have ignored that threat just one year after 9/11. To think someone else could have shrugged the warnings off is LSD-level stuff.
That said, Saddam’s removal absolutely contributed to the rising power of Iran, who, without a Muslim counterweight in the region, has now not only promised to build nukes but has an array of Middle East states, including Saudi Arabia and Israel, concerned enough to restore normal relations. (Globalists certainly didn’t see that comin’).
Today, the globalists’ efforts to isolate and strangle Russia have backfired spectacularly, most notably by leading to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, followed by the predictable and predictably useless sanctions—-which then caused Russia to abandon the Euro as a payment for its gas. This, in turn, has led to a slow decline in the status of the dollar as an international reserve currency.
Before we proceed, it would be useful here to fully understand the implications of that decline. Not that it was unexpected: Peter Zeihan, in The Accidental Superpower and other books, has written that for some time we have been witnessing the end of the Bretton-Woods Agreement. Created in 1944, the system was to rely on the U.S. dollar as a reserve currency, which in turn meant that the U.S. currency would have to be stable and reliable. Or, as good as gold.
Until Richard Nixon took the U.S. off the gold standard in 1971.
Still, the dollar was powerful enough to float against any other currency; and the use of the “petrodollar” system, in which oil-producing Middle East states accepted payment for oil in gold, meant that the U.S. entered an era where it was subsidizing consumption via the Arab states who could not spend the dollars nearly fast enough. Or, we exported our inflation to nations that couldn’t chase “too many goods with two few dollars.”
From Nixon’s time on, American deficits and national debt grew, and at times exploded. Certainly under Zero and the Demented Pervert the debt levels were off the charts. Trump made no real attempt to control the debt, as Yertle and the Congress were determined to spend like the Kardashians.
Again, so long as we could export our inflation—-because certainly the ability to actually produce manufactured items, computers chips, and drugs in America had waned badly—-America’s consumers could continue to spend.
Even before Donald Trump, however, Zeihan points out that Bretton-Woods was ending and that the willingness of the United States to guarantee global free trade was receding. Certainly there was little appetite for new wars. Trump deftly managed to avoid any conflicts, even will temporarily disarming little Rocket Man and becoming the only American president to cross the Demilitarized Zone into North Korea. And, as Zeihan predicted, Russia and China took advantage of this U.S. vacuum, with Russia re-taking Georgia then Crimea now parts of Ukraine.
Pootie-poot wasn’t going to just sit there and allow NATO to expand right up to his borders if he could prevent it, any more than Dwight Eisenhower and John Kennedy wanted to accept a communist dictatorship in Cuba (but they eventually had to) or Ronald Reagan would allow a communist dictatorship in El Salvador (but he had to—-and that was soon overthrown by truly democratic forces).
The West’s response to Putin and Ukraine was also predictable, especially with weak western leaders such as Boris (Hairspray) Johnson and the Rutabaga. Weak inept leaders, from Napoleon III to Mussolini have long sought to disguise their haplessness through foreign adventures, usually with bad endings for them. (Napoleon was taken prisoner, Mussolini was assassinated). Strong and potent leaders such as Trump or Margaret Thatcher would have either prevented conflict altogether or settled it in quick fashion as the Iron Lady did in the Falklands.
So back to the unintended consequences: the West’s sanctions and the attempt to destroy the ruble backfired. Already the ruble has rebounded while Germany’s tough stance against paying rubles for Russian gas proved little more than sleight of hand as Germany paid Euros to the official Russian bank, Gazprom Bank, which merely converted the Euros into rubles.
Citibank’s head, Walter Wriston, once put it this way:
“If Exxon pays Saudi Arabia $50 million, all that happens is that we debit Exxon and credit Saudi Arabia. The balance sheet of Citibank remains the same. And if they say they don’t like American banks, they’ll put it in Credit Suisse, all we do is charge Saudi Arabia and credit Credit Suisse: our balance sheet remains the same. So when people run around waiting for the sky to fall there isn’t any way the money can leave the system. It’s a closed system.”
But . . . when dollars or Euros are converted at an increasing rate for Euros or renmimbi, while the dollars and Euros may not be able to leave the system, they can become increasingly worthless and irrelevant.
The fact that the globalists failed to break the ruble, and that their failure became apparent so quickly, was a shocking reality bath that globalism is teetering. Now, a coalition of China, India, Brazil, Russia, Saudi Arabia, and other Gulf States are opposing any action in Ukraine. While not official members of that coalition, Iran, Pakistan and Turkey are supportive.
Victor Davis Hanson has already argued that the real “great reset” is upon us. Pollster Richard Baris recently told me that support for NATO no-fly zones in Ukraine languish at about 33% when the question is framed “if such no-fly zones could lead to war with Russia.” Polls tracking the “wrong track” are now as high as 71% saying America is headed in the wrong direction. In normal times—-in peacetime, with no China Virus bogeyman—-Progressives always fail to advance their agendas through the political process. Occasionally they can sneak onerous laws in through the courts, but Trump shut off much of that valve. Instead, as Hanson notes, “Only in crises do they feel that the political left and media can merge to use apocalyptic themes to ram through usually unpopular approaches to foreign and domestic problems.”
Leftist goofball spoogepickle solutions to non-existent problems such as transoid opportunity and discrimination, global warming, and white dominance have produced a backlash that is already extraordinary and is still building. The election in Virginia of Governor Glenn Youngkin was just a start in the fight against Communist Racist Theory; but the Patton of this offensive is Governor Ron DeSantis in Florida, who has gone on offense against the transoid/homosexual agenda, especially in schools. Emboldened by DeSantis, other governors and other states have passed similar anti-CRT laws, new pro-life laws, and have ditched virtually all lasting remnants of the maskiopathy and vaxiopathy that has choked our nation and killed untold thousands.
None of this was expected by the leftoids, who thought Americans (and Euros) would just sit there an take it. Bastions of idiocy still exist in Kollyfornia and New Kabul (New York), but the first wave of political resistance will occur in November when Republicans as of this writing would take around 40 seats in the House and two to four senate seats.
Even then, as Baris says, the numbers are lining up for an even more shocking wave from top to bottom. He has the generic congressional ballot at 7.7%, but some others have it as high as 13% (an absolute disaster for DemoKKKrats). And, to be fair, others only have the generic at 2%. I trust Baris, and even think him on the low side. He is adamant, though, that the reaction will be across the board, at every level of government.
Meanwhile, an overlooked development has been the state of the redistricting efforts, which at first looked terrible for Republicans, but slowly has flipped into positive maps. In Arizona, a 5-4 DemoKKKrat map will be at least 5-4 GOP, probably 6-3, and quite possibly 7-2. New York’s Supreme Court threw out the biased DemoKKKrat map there; while Ohio’s Supreme Court relented to allow the GOP-friendlier map in that state. And Patton, er, DeSantis, has vetoed a legislative map there that he deemed too friendly for DemoKKKrats.
When you add these recent redistricting shifts to the (now) 31 retiring DemoKKKrats’ seats, you can understand the depth of the crash that awaits them in November. And the Biteme-induced inflation has no end in sight, right now chugging along at double digits. Even the Rutabaga promised “food shortages” this year.
This is why they must do everything they can to destroy America now.
They may not ever get another chance.
Larry Schweikart
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Really great commentary. We're also getting an influx of Californians here in Arkansas, and they are all conservative. They are also older, like forty and above. Meanwhile, the kids are going to the Blue states where they will not have to work for a living, and can spend their time in non-stop sex, parties, and watching sports. The voting age needs to be moved to thirty-five -- then there would be no blue states. Dave the Slave.
Nailed it Larry! I’ve felt this way myself for a while. The global project is dying on the vine not gaining steam.