Larry's Commentary

Share this post

User's avatar
Larry's Commentary
Predictions, Before and After Nov. 5

Predictions, Before and After Nov. 5

The DemoKKKrat freak out will be something to behold.

Larry Schweikart's avatar
Larry Schweikart
Oct 30, 2024
∙ Paid
18

Share this post

User's avatar
Larry's Commentary
Predictions, Before and After Nov. 5
5
4
Share

So here is what I expect to see next Tues. As always, I base my analysis very little on polling. Most of it is voter registration, early ballot requests and ballot returns. In many states these are identified by partisanship (D/R marked on the ballot). Those are easy to track. Other states (GA< MI, WI, VA, do not register by party. There you have to use proxies such as the location from which the ballots are coming (i.e., heavy Trump vs. heavy Biden districts from 2020). At that point you can look at a poll or two and see if they confirm the real results—-but not before.

Keep reading with a 7-day free trial

Subscribe to Larry's Commentary to keep reading this post and get 7 days of free access to the full post archives.

Already a paid subscriber? Sign in
© 2025 Larry Schweikart
Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start writingGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture

Share