So here is what I expect to see next Tues. As always, I base my analysis very little on polling. Most of it is voter registration, early ballot requests and ballot returns. In many states these are identified by partisanship (D/R marked on the ballot). Those are easy to track. Other states (GA< MI, WI, VA, do not register by party. There you have to use proxies such as the location from which the ballots are coming (i.e., heavy Trump vs. heavy Biden districts from 2020). At that point you can look at a poll or two and see if they confirm the real results—-but not before.
Keep reading with a 7-day free trial
Subscribe to Larry's Commentary to keep reading this post and get 7 days of free access to the full post archives.